Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 55.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kastelic
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
53.2% (299)
+3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
46.5% (86)
+53.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Carpenter
Home
54.8% (73)
54.6% (207)
Away
63.8% (47)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Kastelic
Carpenter
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
62.5%
51.5%
P3
60.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%