Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Johansen 52.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 72.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Kastelic
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kastelic
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Kastelic
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
49.4% (1,010)
+7.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
62.3% (236)
+37.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
67.2% (67)
+32.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Johansen
Home
54.8% (73)
54.7% (655)
Away
63.8% (47)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Kastelic
Johansen
P1
50.0%
52.2%
P2
62.5%
50.7%
P3
60.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |