Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Johansen 52.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Kastelic
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kastelic
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kastelic
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Kastelic
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
51.9% (597)
+1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
57.9% (133)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
54.3% (81)
+20.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Johansen
Home
56.2% (162)
55.8% (387)
Away
52.9% (187)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Kastelic
Johansen
P1
58.2%
50.0%
P2
58.8%
56.2%
P3
45.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |