Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Boyd 43.9% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kastelic 72.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 96.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 90.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Kastelic
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Kastelic
Boyd
Last 10: Kastelic 9-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
5
1
Kastelic
Boyd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
43.4% (893)
+14.6%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
51.5% (136)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
34.6% (127)
+16.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Kastelic shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Boyd
Home
64.9% (265)
46.0% (570)
Away
50.5% (325)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Kastelic
Boyd
P1
58.5%
38.9%
P2
55.6%
50.4%
P3
56.8%
41.1%
Final 5 min
62.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |