Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kastelic wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Boyd 44.1% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kastelic 71.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 96.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 90.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Kastelic
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Kastelic
Boyd
Last 10: Kastelic 9-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
5
1
Kastelic
Boyd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
0
Kastelic
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
44.4% (2,186)
+12.6%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
46.5% (256)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
35.6% (208)
+18.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Kastelic is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Kastelic shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Boyd
Home
58.9% (895)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Kastelic
Boyd
P1
58.5%
41.7%
P2
56.9%
46.2%
P3
55.3%
44.0%
OT
53.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
59.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |