Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 51.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 89.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 73.2%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Raty
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Raty
Scheifele
Last 6: Raty 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Raty
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
48.7% (981)
+8.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
53.2% (250)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
43.2% (37)
+15.1%
On power play, Raty has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Raty
Scheifele
Home
57.1% (168)
50.0% (672)
Away
57.6% (165)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Raty
Scheifele
P1
62.4%
51.4%
P2
56.7%
45.1%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
65.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |