Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 69.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 56.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Hayton
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayton
Scheifele
Last 6: Hayton 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Hayton
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
48.1% (1,045)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
48.6% (181)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
44.4% (27)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Hayton
Scheifele
Home
47.4% (171)
52.7% (630)
Away
51.4% (247)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Hayton
Scheifele
P1
49.6%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
49.0%
47.5%
OT
75.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |