Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 47.8% vs Scheifele 44.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 60.5%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 60.2%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Gaunce
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaunce
Scheifele
Last 5: Gaunce 3-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Gaunce
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
0
Gaunce
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (92)
44.5% (943)
-1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
42.2% (180)
-42.2%
Penalty Kill
69.2% (13)
44.2% (43)
+25.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Gaunce is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Gaunce shoots left. Scheifele is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Scheifele
Home
32.4% (37)
47.4% (549)
Away
52.9% (70)
41.3% (617)
By Period
Gaunce
Scheifele
P1
51.2%
43.7%
P2
46.7%
44.5%
P3
38.9%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
45.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |