Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.8%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 72.2%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McBain
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
McBain
Scheifele
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
9
McBain
Scheifele
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
7
5
McBain
Scheifele
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
5
2
McBain
Scheifele
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
46.3% (12,036)
+1.7%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
50.2% (2,563)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
41.6% (598)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
McBain
Scheifele
Home
49.0% (1,359)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
McBain
Scheifele
P1
46.7%
48.2%
P2
47.5%
45.6%
P3
45.6%
46.8%
OT
37.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |