Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Last 7: Scheifele 3-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Scheifele
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Scheifele
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
52.9% (870)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
53.5% (43)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
46.2% (143)
-3.0%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (672)
55.1% (501)
Away
48.8% (596)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Scheifele
Zibanejad
P1
51.4%
57.5%
P2
45.1%
50.7%
P3
51.9%
47.9%
OT
58.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |