Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 64.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 82.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 62.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
4
Scheifele
Zibanejad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.4% (770)
-6.9%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
46.2% (39)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.7% (141)
+5.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zibanejad
Home
46.2% (571)
49.0% (429)
Away
47.7% (535)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Scheifele
Zibanejad
P1
51.9%
53.0%
P2
45.6%
51.1%
P3
43.9%
51.0%
OT
27.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |