Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Foligno 49.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 79.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Scheifele
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Scheifele
Foligno
Last 7: Scheifele 4-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Scheifele
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Scheifele
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
49.0% (261)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
57.1% (42)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On power play, Foligno has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Foligno
Home
46.2% (571)
48.9% (178)
Away
47.7% (535)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Scheifele
Foligno
P1
51.9%
40.4%
P2
45.6%
55.8%
P3
43.9%
51.2%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |