Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 54.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Scheifele
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
22
(37 meetings)
15
22
Scheifele
Foligno
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
10
5
Scheifele
Foligno
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
12
Scheifele
Foligno
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
5
Scheifele
Foligno
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
48.3% (2,810)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
52.3% (730)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
44.0% (455)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Foligno
Home
48.9% (7,644)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Scheifele
Foligno
P1
48.2%
47.6%
P2
45.6%
50.4%
P3
46.8%
48.3%
OT
42.5%
29.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |