Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Scheifele
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Scheifele
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Scheifele
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
5
Scheifele
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
48.7% (495)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
56.9% (65)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
43.8% (144)
-0.6%
On power play, Foligno has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Foligno
Home
50.0% (672)
49.6% (359)
Away
48.8% (596)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Scheifele
Foligno
P1
51.4%
46.7%
P2
45.1%
52.7%
P3
51.9%
46.7%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |