Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 63.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 59.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Last 6: Scheifele 2-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Scheifele
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
38.5% (309)
+9.6%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
53.2% (79)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
25.0% (12)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Schmaltz
Home
52.7% (630)
38.0% (184)
Away
43.5% (623)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Scheifele
Schmaltz
P1
50.3%
40.3%
P2
46.8%
39.9%
P3
47.5%
40.7%
OT
36.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |