Mark Scheifele vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.0%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 52.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.7%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
4
Scheifele
Buchnevich
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Buchnevich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Scheifele
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
37.7% (154)
+8.8%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
42.9% (14)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Buchnevich is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Home
46.2% (571)
37.4% (91)
Away
47.7% (535)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Scheifele
Buchnevich
P1
51.9%
38.9%
P2
45.6%
31.5%
P3
43.9%
42.0%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |