Mark Scheifele vs Pavel Buchnevich

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mark Scheifele holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Scheifele 46.8% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+12.9%)
H2H factor Scheifele leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Scheifele 83.9%
Defensive zone Scheifele 76.8%
Neutral zone Scheifele 83.7%
Result Mark Scheifele favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Scheifele Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 7 (17 meetings)
10
7
Scheifele Buchnevich
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Scheifele Buchnevich
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
2
Scheifele Buchnevich
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele Buchnevich
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
33.7% (895)
+12.6%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
44.2% (52)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
24.3% (37)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +17.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Buchnevich
Home
48.9% (7,644)
34.7% (490)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Scheifele
Buchnevich
P1
48.2%
34.4%
P2
45.6%
33.7%
P3
46.8%
33.4%
OT
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
37.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%
51.0%
46.8%
Buchnevich
36.0%
38.5%
33.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 15, 2026 3 15:08 Defensive Mark Scheifele
Mar 15, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 15, 2026 2 18:17 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Mar 15, 2026 1 06:59 Defensive Mark Scheifele
Jan 20, 2026 3 08:44 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 20, 2026 3 08:32 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 20, 2026 2 15:24 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 20, 2026 2 10:23 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Jan 20, 2026 1 01:17 Defensive Mark Scheifele
Jan 20, 2026 1 01:12 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Apr 7, 2025 3 06:30 Defensive Mark Scheifele
Oct 22, 2024 1 12:42 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 19, 2023 3 15:27 Neutral Mark Scheifele
Mar 19, 2023 3 01:58 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Mar 19, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Mark Scheifele
Mar 19, 2023 2 17:50 Offensive Mark Scheifele
Mar 19, 2023 1 07:02 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich