Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Zacha 51.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 82.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 50.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 65.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Scheifele
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Scheifele
Zacha
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Scheifele
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
6
Scheifele
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.3% (646)
-6.8%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
53.0% (100)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
38.9% (72)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zacha
Home
46.2% (571)
51.7% (410)
Away
47.7% (535)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Scheifele
Zacha
P1
51.9%
57.7%
P2
45.6%
48.9%
P3
43.9%
50.2%
OT
27.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |