Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Scheifele
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Scheifele
Zacha
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
4
Scheifele
Zacha
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Scheifele
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Scheifele
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
54.1% (534)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
56.0% (109)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
44.8% (96)
-1.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zacha
Home
50.0% (672)
53.4% (406)
Away
48.8% (596)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Scheifele
Zacha
P1
51.4%
56.8%
P2
45.1%
53.6%
P3
51.9%
49.2%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |