Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 53.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 51.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Scheifele
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Scheifele
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Scheifele
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
53.9% (787)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
63.2% (193)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
44.3% (88)
+0.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zacha
Home
52.7% (630)
56.7% (538)
Away
43.5% (623)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Scheifele
Zacha
P1
50.3%
52.6%
P2
46.8%
54.8%
P3
47.5%
56.8%
OT
36.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |