Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Zacha 44.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 75.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Scheifele
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Zacha
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Scheifele
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
42.8% (514)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
51.9% (79)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
36.1% (61)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Scheifele is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Scheifele shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zacha
Home
50.4% (691)
45.0% (289)
Away
43.0% (598)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Scheifele
Zacha
P1
46.7%
47.4%
P2
48.1%
43.8%
P3
46.3%
37.7%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | OT | 04:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |