Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Greig 50.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 77.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 59.1%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Scheifele
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Scheifele
Greig
Last 7: Scheifele 3-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
4
Scheifele
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
51.5% (336)
-5.0%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
66.7% (24)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.2% (81)
+6.8%
On power play, Greig has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greig
Home
46.2% (571)
50.2% (247)
Away
47.7% (535)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Scheifele
Greig
P1
51.9%
46.9%
P2
45.6%
58.8%
P3
43.9%
48.3%
OT
27.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |