Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Greig 48.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 76.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Scheifele
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Scheifele
Greig
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
4
Scheifele
Greig
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
8
Scheifele
Greig
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
2
Scheifele
Greig
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
48.5% (1,133)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
56.8% (74)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
46.5% (172)
-4.9%
On power play, Greig has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greig
Home
48.9% (7,644)
49.8% (681)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Scheifele
Greig
P1
48.2%
46.3%
P2
45.6%
51.2%
P3
46.8%
48.8%
OT
42.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |