Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Greig 45.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 73.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 56.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Scheifele
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Greig
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
3
Scheifele
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
45.2% (414)
+2.9%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
28.6% (14)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
28.6% (21)
+15.8%
On power play, Scheifele has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greig
Home
52.7% (630)
46.4% (196)
Away
43.5% (623)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Scheifele
Greig
P1
50.3%
40.8%
P2
46.8%
46.4%
P3
47.5%
43.9%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |