Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Greene 45.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.6%
Defensive zone
Greene 85.0%
Neutral zone
Greene 66.2%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Scheifele
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
Last 6: Scheifele 1-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
44.1% (506)
+2.4%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
47.5% (59)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.6% (149)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Greene is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greene
Home
46.2% (571)
47.4% (382)
Away
47.7% (535)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Scheifele
Greene
P1
51.9%
47.2%
P2
45.6%
39.0%
P3
43.9%
47.0%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |