Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Greene 44.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.4%
Defensive zone
Greene 83.3%
Neutral zone
Greene 66.4%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 83.3%
16.7%
83.3%
Scheifele
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
Last 6: Scheifele 1-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
5
Scheifele
Greene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
43.7% (524)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
47.5% (59)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
43.6% (149)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Greene is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Greene
Home
48.9% (7,644)
47.4% (382)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Scheifele
Greene
P1
48.2%
46.4%
P2
45.6%
38.9%
P3
46.8%
47.0%
OT
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |