Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Kuraly 49.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 89.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Scheifele
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Scheifele
Kuraly
Last 6: Scheifele 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Scheifele
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
52.4% (416)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
57.1% (7)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
32.0% (97)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Scheifele is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Scheifele shoots right. Kuraly is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kuraly
Home
50.4% (691)
52.1% (259)
Away
43.0% (598)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Scheifele
Kuraly
P1
46.7%
46.8%
P2
48.1%
52.4%
P3
46.3%
47.2%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |