Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 29-18 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 70.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Scheifele
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
18
(47 meetings)
29
18
Scheifele
Kuraly
Last 10: Scheifele 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
17
2
Scheifele
Kuraly
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
14
Scheifele
Kuraly
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
8
2
Scheifele
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
51.5% (5,141)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
56.0% (100)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
44.2% (1,086)
-2.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kuraly
Home
48.9% (7,644)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Scheifele
Kuraly
P1
48.2%
51.1%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
42.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |