Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Scheifele
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Scheifele
Kuraly
Last 8: Scheifele 5-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
52.3% (982)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
41.9% (43)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
39.2% (245)
+10.8%
On power play, Scheifele has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Scheifele shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Kuraly
Home
52.3% (440)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.0% (408)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Scheifele
Kuraly
P1
52.3%
49.5%
P2
50.4%
49.6%
P3
51.4%
49.0%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |