Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Aho 54.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 69.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 63.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Scheifele
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Scheifele
Aho
Last 10: Scheifele 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Scheifele
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Scheifele
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
54.5% (870)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
62.4% (266)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
37.1% (62)
+6.1%
On power play, Aho has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Aho
Home
50.0% (672)
53.9% (603)
Away
48.8% (596)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Scheifele
Aho
P1
51.4%
54.1%
P2
45.1%
55.0%
P3
51.9%
57.4%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |