Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Aho 50.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.8%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 56.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Scheifele
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Scheifele
Aho
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
5
Scheifele
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Scheifele
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Scheifele
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
49.9% (851)
-3.4%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
53.5% (144)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.3% (60)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Aho
Home
46.2% (571)
53.2% (554)
Away
47.7% (535)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Scheifele
Aho
P1
51.9%
49.1%
P2
45.6%
50.8%
P3
43.9%
49.7%
OT
27.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |