Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Wright 45.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 85.2%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 52.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 75.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Scheifele
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Scheifele
Wright
Last 5: Scheifele 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
43.9% (758)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.7% (67)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
40.0% (5)
+3.2%
On even strength, Scheifele has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Wright is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Wright
Home
50.0% (672)
46.3% (406)
Away
48.8% (596)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Scheifele
Wright
P1
51.4%
46.8%
P2
45.1%
42.6%
P3
51.9%
44.4%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |