Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 80.7%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 65.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 74.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Scheifele
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Scheifele
Wright
Last 5: Scheifele 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
42.6% (1,318)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
45.8% (131)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
33.3% (6)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Wright
Home
48.9% (7,644)
44.2% (746)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Scheifele
Wright
P1
48.2%
44.4%
P2
45.6%
40.7%
P3
46.8%
44.0%
OT
42.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |