Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Thompson 44.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 74.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Scheifele
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Scheifele
Thompson
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Scheifele
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Scheifele
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
44.6% (709)
+3.5%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
41.5% (53)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
35.1% (97)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thompson
Home
52.7% (630)
45.5% (426)
Away
43.5% (623)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Scheifele
Thompson
P1
50.3%
48.5%
P2
46.8%
43.8%
P3
47.5%
38.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |