Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Zegras 42.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 61.9%
Defensive zone
Zegras 68.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 59.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Scheifele
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Scheifele
Zegras
Last 5: Scheifele 2-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Scheifele
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
41.1% (559)
+6.7%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
50.0% (12)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
50.0% (2)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zegras
Home
50.7% (611)
45.7% (247)
Away
45.1% (596)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Scheifele
Zegras
P1
51.4%
45.5%
P2
47.3%
36.8%
P3
45.0%
41.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |