Mark Scheifele vs Trevor Zegras

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mark Scheifele holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Scheifele 47.2% vs Zegras 35.4% (+16.6%)
Offensive zone Zegras 55.7%
Defensive zone Scheifele 58.4%
Neutral zone Scheifele 55.3%
Result Mark Scheifele favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Scheifele Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Scheifele
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
29.6% (230)
+16.9%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
32.1% (56)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Zegras
Home
46.2% (571)
30.6% (147)
Away
47.7% (535)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Scheifele
Zegras
P1
51.9%
33.0%
P2
45.6%
31.7%
P3
43.9%
25.6%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
29.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%
51.0%
46.9%
Zegras
16.0%
26.5%
30.3%