Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.4% vs Johnson 48.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.1%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 64.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 67.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Scheifele
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Scheifele
Johnson
Last 6: Scheifele 1-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Scheifele
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Scheifele
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (938)
49.5% (828)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (168)
54.9% (142)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
26.8% (41)
36.8% (133)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Scheifele is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnson
Home
43.1% (569)
50.7% (564)
Away
42.7% (579)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnson
P1
45.3%
51.2%
P2
38.6%
47.5%
P3
44.1%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |