Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Johnson 50.7% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 65.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Scheifele
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
47.4% (78)
+0.4%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
57.6% (33)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
100.0% (2)
-39.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnson
Home
50.7% (611)
50.9% (57)
Away
45.1% (596)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnson
P1
51.4%
44.1%
P2
47.3%
59.4%
P3
45.0%
52.3%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%