Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stone 48.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Stone 66.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 75.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Stone
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stone
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (22)
56.6% (1,064)
-6.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.4% (260)
-31.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stone is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Stone shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Stone
O'Reilly
Home
47.1% (17)
54.9% (801)
Away
41.7% (12)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Stone
O'Reilly
P1
33.3%
58.0%
P2
42.9%
56.7%
P3
62.5%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
37.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stone
34.0%▼
38.0%
44.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%