Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stone wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stone 44.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stone 86.1%
Defensive zone
Stone 63.9%
Neutral zone
Stone 82.2%
Result
Mark Stone favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Stone
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stone
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stone 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stone
2
1
Stone
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Stone
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Stone
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stone
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (251)
56.2% (15,260)
-12.4%
Power Play
39.7% (58)
58.8% (3,445)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
51.4% (2,811)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stone is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Stone shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Stone
O'Reilly
Home
45.6% (182)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
37.9% (145)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Stone
O'Reilly
P1
37.8%
55.6%
P2
48.6%
57.0%
P3
41.9%
55.1%
OT
16.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stone
34.0%▼
38.0%
42.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Mark Stone |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Stone |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mark Stone |