Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 71.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.7%
Neutral zone
Necas 56.2%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Necas
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Necas
Zibanejad
Last 7: Necas 3-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
3
1
Necas
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Necas
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Necas
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
50.1% (1,051)
-5.6%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
58.3% (120)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
41.9% (227)
+5.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Necas is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Necas shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Necas
Zibanejad
Home
44.8% (203)
49.0% (681)
Away
45.3% (214)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Necas
Zibanejad
P1
46.8%
49.9%
P2
40.0%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
OT
37.5%
48.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Martin Necas |