Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Necas wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Necas 73.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.1%
Neutral zone
Necas 52.6%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Necas
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Necas
Zibanejad
Last 10: Necas 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
5
1
Necas
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Necas
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Necas
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
50.9% (11,719)
-10.2%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
52.2% (1,849)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
41.5% (1,790)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Necas is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Necas shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Necas
Zibanejad
Home
39.2% (492)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
43.0% (477)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Necas
Zibanejad
P1
39.9%
50.4%
P2
40.6%
49.7%
P3
43.3%
49.8%
OT
41.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
42.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |