Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 40.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 89.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.2%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Necas
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Necas
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Necas
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
33.6% (134)
49.2% (778)
-15.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.0% (234)
+6.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Necas is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Necas shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Necas
Dowd
Home
28.2% (71)
46.3% (492)
Away
40.3% (67)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Necas
Dowd
P1
33.9%
49.1%
P2
36.4%
48.2%
P3
31.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
22.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |