Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Necas wins 32.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 40.8% vs Poehling 49.2% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 87.0%
Defensive zone
Necas 69.0%
Neutral zone
Necas 74.1%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Necas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Necas
Poehling
Last 5: Necas 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Necas
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Necas
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Necas
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
33.6% (134)
50.4% (752)
-16.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
37.0% (27)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.3% (159)
+4.7%
On even strength, Poehling has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Necas is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Necas shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Necas
Poehling
Home
28.2% (71)
51.2% (467)
Away
40.3% (67)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Necas
Poehling
P1
33.9%
54.6%
P2
36.4%
46.7%
P3
31.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
22.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |