Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Poehling 48.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 89.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 56.8%
Neutral zone
Necas 68.7%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Necas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Necas
Poehling
Last 9: Necas 3-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Necas
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Necas
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Necas
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
49.4% (2,726)
-8.7%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
51.6% (93)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
41.6% (623)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Necas
Poehling
Home
39.2% (492)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
43.0% (477)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Necas
Poehling
P1
39.9%
50.9%
P2
40.6%
47.0%
P3
43.3%
46.9%
OT
41.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Martin Necas |