Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pospisil on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pospisil wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pospisil 48.3% vs Roy 47.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pospisil 77.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.6%
Neutral zone
Pospisil 61.4%
Result
Martin Pospisil favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Pospisil
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pospisil
Roy
Last 5: Pospisil 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pospisil
3
0
Pospisil
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pospisil
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pospisil
1
0
Pospisil
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pospisil
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (51)
47.5% (617)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pospisil is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Pospisil shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Pospisil
Roy
Home
50.0% (24)
47.2% (398)
Away
40.7% (27)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Pospisil
Roy
P1
46.2%
48.6%
P2
50.0%
48.8%
P3
36.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pospisil
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Martin Pospisil |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |