Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pospisil on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pospisil wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pospisil 44.5% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pospisil 54.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 90.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Pospisil
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pospisil
Roy
Last 7: Pospisil 5-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pospisil
4
0
Pospisil
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Pospisil
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pospisil
1
0
Pospisil
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pospisil
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (254)
48.7% (3,719)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.5% (477)
+54.5%
On penalty kill, Pospisil has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pospisil is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Pospisil shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Pospisil
Roy
Home
47.4% (135)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
36.7% (120)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Pospisil
Roy
P1
45.8%
50.8%
P2
40.8%
46.3%
P3
37.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pospisil
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Martin Pospisil |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Martin Pospisil |