Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs McTavish 50.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 89.1%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.9%
Neutral zone
McTavish 74.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Dewar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dewar
McTavish
Last 5: Dewar 4-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
51.1% (769)
-10.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.6% (178)
+49.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
28.6% (14)
+19.8%
On power play, Dewar has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Dewar
McTavish
Home
41.0% (78)
52.3% (461)
Away
45.7% (46)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Dewar
McTavish
P1
38.9%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
54.0%
P3
34.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |