Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs McTavish 43.3% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 95.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 92.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 86.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Miller
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Miller
McTavish
Last 6: Miller 6-0 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
42.4% (675)
+13.3%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
40.5% (42)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
50.0% (8)
-2.8%
On power play, Miller has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. McTavish is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Miller
McTavish
Home
56.1% (440)
41.9% (372)
Away
53.8% (446)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Miller
McTavish
P1
52.3%
47.2%
P2
54.7%
36.2%
P3
57.2%
43.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |