Mason McTavish vs Matthew Poitras
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 51.5% vs Poitras 45.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 50.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 51.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 52.6%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McTavish
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McTavish
Poitras
Last 6: McTavish 3-3 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poitras
0
2
McTavish
Poitras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
0
McTavish
Poitras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
1
McTavish
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (725)
43.3% (245)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.8% (113)
50.0% (6)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
66.7% (3)
-38.1%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McTavish shoots left. Poitras is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
McTavish
Poitras
Home
52.0% (454)
44.6% (121)
Away
51.4% (391)
42.9% (133)
By Period
McTavish
Poitras
P1
51.3%
41.5%
P2
50.4%
45.4%
P3
53.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |